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Steady Growth

Tags: aapl, iPhone, iPod, security flaws, aapl, iPhone, iPod, security flaws
24 Jul 11:20am

Apple Inc.

AAPL (NASDAQ)

Forecast has expired Ended: Sunday July 29, 2007

Target

$148.11 To $151.89

$6.30 (4.4%)

Time Span:2wks and below

Final

$226.60

$82.90 (57.7%)

Recommendation

Rating:Hold

Risk:Conservative

Stop Loss Price:Unspecified

Final XP: 0

Target not reached

Analysis


 I think we will see a steady increase in aapl's share price over the coming weeks. Firstly, with the continued introduction of the iphone, as well as the immenent arrival of the next gen. ipods, i think confidence in apple as an all encompassing "brand" is at an all time high. Secondly, despite earlier reports this week of security weaknesses in the iphone (igoldengoose?) aapl has only seemed to experience mild wobbles from what would usually be an event of major concern.

Update:

So i could be wrong in using the word "steady" as appleinsider notes

"After surging for the past several weeks, shares of iPhone maker Apple Inc. could experience some short-term volatility around the company's fiscal third quarter earnings report this Wednesday, warns one Wall Street analyst."

I'm sticking to my initial forecast, but it looks like we may be in for some choppy seas first.


An experiment

Tags: experimental forcasting, patterns, HD
24 Jul 11:06am

Home Depot, Inc. (The)

HD (NYSE)

Forecast has expired Ended: Wednesday August 8, 2007

Target

$39.84 To $40.44

$1.51 (3.9%)

Time Span:2wks and below

Final

$32.45

-$6.18 (16.0%)

Recommendation

Rating:Hold

Risk:Balanced

Stop Loss Price:Unspecified

Final XP: 873

Target not reached

Analysis

THIS IS A BIT OF A TRIAL

Take me with a grain of salt...


I've been looking at hd's previous history and have noticed a rec curing "3 spike" pattern. Usually within a period (one month) hd will spike highest within the first few weeks, then slightly lower sometime in the third, followed by a loosely similar spike in the forth to fifth weeks. Bear in mind I am taking very little account of current events in regard to hd, this is really just meant to be a wee experiment to test whether it is feasible to use this method. Although, wouldn't it be interesting if this prediction came true? well see...

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